Milwaukee and Dane turnout. Democrats have won these two cities by astronomical vote margins in Obama’s two victories. But Milwaukee in particular has generated smaller turnouts and smaller Democratic margins in mid-term elections. The city of Milwaukee had a turnout of 47% of voting-age citizens in 2010 and 72% in November 2012. Democrats need a bigger turnout than they had in the last mid-term in 2010. Dane County turns out more reliably than Milwaukee in governor’s races. The massive Democratic margins it now routinely generates in statewide races are critical for Burke. In the 1982 race for governor, roughly one out of 12 Democratic votes for governor in Wisconsin came out of Dane County. In the 2012 recall, roughly one out of seven did.
Via Keys to watch for in the Walker-Burke race Tuesday night @ JS Wisconsin Voter Blog.