Many uncertainties, but
….if you wanted to use Tuesday’s results as a proxy for a recall vote on Mr. Walker, you’d want to subtract 3.3 points from the Republican total and add 3.3 points to the Democrats’ total to get a sense of how the whole state might have voted. That would point toward a recall vote that would be too close to call: Republicans would have gotten 49.4 percent of the vote, and Democrats 50.6 percent, according to this method….